架空历史小说通过假想过去而表达对当下的某种态度，虽然相关作品的想象天马行空，但并非作者一时兴起的凭空杜撰，其背后往往隐藏着意识形态或政治幻想。很多英美架空历史小说选取的分叉点都是关键性的战役及其后续的历史进程，而假设“南方赢得美国内战”是其中最常见的母题之一。本讲座对英美文学中涉及美国内战题材的架空历史小说进行系统梳理和简要概述，继而以著名内战小说《把银禧带来》(Bringthe Jubilee)为典型案例，分析其中的叙事特征与历史观念，包括历史转轨前的伏笔、时间穿越前的思考、时间穿越后的悖论、复杂的时间结构、虚幻的文本世界等，旨在帮助听众更好地了解架空历史小说这一独特文类的写作特点，同时更深入地把握美国内战的历史语境与后续影响。

“International relations (IR) as a field of study deals with decisions that are made within a country that have implications for relationships outside the borders of that country.” (Kaufman, J. (2013) Introduction to International Relations: Theory and Practice). The field of IR was established in the aftermath of the First World War, placing particular attention on war and peace at international level. While IR as a discipline is relatively recent in the history of political science, its concerns have occupied all societies since antiquity. In this talk I will use the modern tool of IR theory, in order to approach the particularities of ancient Greek society, and more specifically myth’s central role in Greek “international” politics, concentrating on myths of kinship between cities and ethnic sub-groups among the Greeks. Kinship myths were associated with gods and heroes as common ancestors of whole communities and the foundation of new settlements abroad, being rooted in a very distant past. At the same time they had a very practical application in the sphere of politics and interstate relations. They were used (often by being adapted according to the needs of the moment) by leaders and communities as powerful arguments of diplomacy and decision-making in times of war and peace, and were constitutive of a community’s ethnic identity.

在数据分析中，一方面需要估计参数，常用的估计的方法主要有基于大数定律的矩方法、基于似然的最大似然方法和基于误差平方和最小的LS方法；另一方面需要判断一个假设是否成立，判断的依据是小概率事件在一次试验中几乎不会发生的原理。
本次讲座将结合案例详细介绍估计与假设检验方法，该方法能够帮助同学们显著地提高分析复杂数据的能力。

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内容提要

中心讲坛11月活动一览

“中心讲坛”11月份已经确定的学术讲座有：

11月3日

【题目】英语媒介语教学、内容语言融合教学中的超语实践：理论视角和研究重点

Translanguaging in EMI and CLIL Classrooms: Theoretical Perspectives and Research Foci

【主讲】谷明樾（香港教育大学）

【主持】朱晔（上海外国语大学）

【时间】19:00～20:30

【讲座语言】中文

11月10日

【题目】新时代我国俄语语言与文化研究：问题与趋势

China’s Russian Language and Cultural Studies in the New Era: Problems and Trends

【主讲】彭文钊（大连外国语大学）

【主持】赵蓉晖（上海外国语大学）

【时间】19:00～20:30

【讲座语言】中文

11月24日

【题目】Language-in-education policy in the Asia-Pacific region

【主讲】 Anthony J. Liddicoat（华威大学）

【主持】朱晔（上海外国语大学）

【时间】19:00～20:30

【讲座语言】英文

获取更多与本讲座相关的详细信息，敬请关注中国外语战略研究中心公众号“语言与未来”（ID: sisuiol）的微信推送。

This presentation will examine general patterns in language-in-education policy in the Asia-Pacific region with a focus on official government policies on languages and their use in education. In the presentation, the Asia-Pacific region has been operationalised by combining two regional groupings of nations, the ASEAN + 3 forum and the Pacific Islands Forum. The chapter will begin by considering three main areas of language-in-education policy that are of particular significance for understanding the region. These are 1) the focus on national languages and policies relating to medium of instruction, 2) the teaching and learning of additional languages as second or foreign languages, and 3) the place of minority languages. The language-in-education policies of the Asia-Pacific region collectively reveal a context in which education is normally focused on the learning of two languages – the national language and English, although more monolingual policies in which English is the official language are also found in the Pacific. Literacy development in the official language(s) of nations has been an important part of nation building work of governments in the region, both for developing human capital and also for creating national identity, especially in nations where a local language has been chosen as the official language. Literacy development in the Asia-Pacific region has therefore often been a main means for developing linguistic uniformity in multilingual nations and this has consequences for how other local languages are positioned in education and in the wider society. English has a significant role in the region either a medium of instruction, either alone or together with a local language or, where it is not a medium of instruction, as an additional language with a strongly entrenched place in the curriculum. Local minority languages are often not seen as legitimate targets for learning in national education systems.

新时代条件下，作为哲学社会科学体系建设的有机组成部分，我国的俄语语言与文化研究要跟上时代发展的步伐，必须植根中俄人文交流实践，以鲜明的问题意识和原创精神，服务国家战略需要和现实需求。讲座将从新时代、新文科视域下俄语语言与文化研究面临的四个主要问题入手，尝试性提出我国俄语语言文化学发展的三个路径选择和五大发展趋势。我们认为，新时代俄语语言与文化研究应当坚持走具有中国特色、中国风格的发展道路，应当积极响应新时代国家发展现实需求，创新语言文化学学科理论和研究方法，积极开展以问题为导向的基础研究和应用研究，打造具有我国特色的俄语语言与文化研究学术体系和话语体系，提升我国俄语学界在国际学术界的学术话语权。

王阳明是明朝杰出的思想家、政治家、军事家、教育家、文学家，儒家心学集大成者，其创立的阳明心学是由“心即理”“知行合一”“致良知”等理论构筑而成的博大精深的思想体系，阳明思想相继传播到日本、朝鲜半岛、俄罗斯、越南、欧洲大陆、美国等地，习近平总书记多次引用王阳明的名言。
阳明思想在英语世界的译介与传播，一方面得益于美籍华裔学者如：陈荣捷、杜维明、秦家懿、成中英等人；另一方面得益于研究王阳明的汉学家如亨克、伊来瑞、狄百瑞、倪德卫、柯雄文、艾文荷、史罗一等人。由于英汉语言、文化和思想的异质性产生的隔阂使得阳明学在英语世界的译介与传播之旅却困难重重，译介中存在的主要问题有：1）对思想的比附理解容易导致误读和不当诠释；2）“不可译”的思想概念词的译名分歧广泛存在；3）思想翻译中的“不对等”广泛存在。本次讲座将简要梳理王阳明思想在英语世界的传播历史，并以王阳明思想中的“知”、“良知”、“致良知”与“知行合一”来例证思想概念词的翻译困境。

随着AI技术的发展，教育正在经历变革，AI+教育深度融合，个性化教育，智能教育成为前沿热点和产业竞争焦点。认知诊断技术作为智能学习系统中的关键技术之一，能够对个体学习的认知过程、加工技能或知识结构的诊断评估。它不仅能够了解学生的整体掌握水平，同时区分掌握水平相似的学生之间不同认知结构的差异。本讲座介绍了目前常用的基于参数模型的认知诊断技术，主要包括IRT，BKT,DKT,以及基于非参数模型的技术。